Key points the global economy is expected to grow just 2. The economic outlook is more favourable in the short and medium term, thanks to higher projected industrial and mining output, good performances in agriculture and fisheries and continuing structural. Oecd, undp 2015 african economic outlook thematic edition 11. The macroeconomic assumptions used in the agricultural outlook are based on the oecd economic outlook november 2015 and the international monetary funds, world economic outlook october 2015. For technical reasons, issues up to 59 are available only as pdf files, or as zipped excel files. Preliminary november 2014 economic outlook database. In objects of desire design and society pdf the complete economic outlook release. Data for 2019, 2020and 2021 are oecd estimates and projections.
Arrows indicate the direction of revisions since may 2019. This decline was largely a result of lower production in the mining sector compared to the year before as well as slower growth in manufacturing and public services. Economic outlook no 97 june 2015 oecd annual projections economic outlook. Emerging market slowdown and drop in trade clouding global outlook. Commodities shown are aluminium, coal, copper, iron. United states economic forecast deloitte university press united states economic forecast. Gross domestic product gdp, us dollarscapita, 2018. The detailed projections are generated by the world energy model, a largescale simulation tool, developed at the iea over a period of more than 20 years that is designed to replicate how energy markets function. Countries and country groupings at 14 november 2019. Estimated based on revisions to the june 2015 economic outlook projections on the basis of.
Oecd ilibrary oecd economic outlook, volume 2018 issue 1. The outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, prices, fiscal and current account balances. Oecd digital economy outlook 2015 european commission. These series include forecasts of y and y through 2015. Data in some of the tables have been adjusted to conform to internationally. Mauritania african economic outlook 2017 the economy grew by an estimated 3. It is a forum of countries describing themselves as committed to democracy and the market economy. The business at oecd economic policy committee epc advises the oecd on macroeconomic issues as well as priorities for structural reforms. Prepared by the oecd economics department, the outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for. The projections in this economic outlook offer the prospect that fiscal initiatives could catalyse private economic activity and push the global economy to the modestly higher growth rate of around 3. The oecd economic outlook includes for the first time projections up to 2020.
It helps create an enabling policy environment that supports private sectorled growth and open, competitive markets. For oecd countries, the economic outlook database includes data on expenditure, foreign trade, output, employment and unemployment, interest and exchange rates, balance of payments, outlays and revenues of government and of households, government debt. This interim report provides updates for g20 country projections made in the november 2019 issue of oecd economic outlook number 106. Oecd economic outlook pdf the oecd economic outlook is the oecds twiceyearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The oecd economic outlook online database provides historical trends and future projections for a range of economic statistics. Arrows for 2018 and 2019 indicate the direction of revisions since september 2018. Uk economic outlook november 2019 16 1 uk economic growth has slowed since early 2018 as brexit related uncertainty has dampened business investment, but consumer spending has held up better so far, supported by a recovery in real wages.
Uk economic outlook november 2015 3 highlights and key messages for business and public policy key projections 2015 2016 real gdp growth 2. Niger african economic outlook 2015 things looked brighter for nigers economy in 2014, with growth at 7. Nominal imports during the first three quarters of 2015 were down 8 per cent. Even so, growth in the major economies will remain below the average. Equatorial guinea african economic outlook 2015 several of equatorial guineas gas and oil fields matured in 20, and the subsequent decline in production, on which the country was highly dependent, pushed the economy into recession. The macro economic assumptions used in the agricultural outlook are based on the oecd economic outlook november 2015 and the international monetary funds, world economic outlook october 2015. Economic outlook is a twiceyearly analysis available for online viewing, download, and in print published by the organisation for economic cooperation and development oecd with economic analysis and forecasts for future economic performance of oecd countries. Oecd ilibrary is the online library of the organisation for economic cooperation and development oecd featuring its books, papers and statistics and is the gateway to oecd s analysis and data. All in all, the global outlook is clouded by the risk that economic prospects around the world will diverge further and by the potential for volatile incidents in capital markets. The organisation for economic cooperation and development oecd. Gdp can be calculated in three ways, providing different perspectives on the balance of economic activity.
This annex contains data on key economic series which provide a background to the recent economic developments in the global economy described in the main body of the oecd economic outlook. Restrictions on movement of people, goods and services, and containment measures such as factory closures have cut manufacturing and domestic demand sharply in china. Oecd june and november 2015 economic outlook databases. Zambia african economic outlook 2015 zambias economy performed relatively well within the region despite the decline in the growth rate. Structural policy ambition is key for the outlook, but progress has stalled changes in the strictness of regulatory barriers to competition average oecd indicator of product market regulation, overall index and three main subcomponents source. The oecd economic outlook is the oecds twiceyearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. Economic outlook no 97 june 2015 oecd annual projections. Presentation of the oecd interim economic outlook by oecd issuu. Oecd organisation for economic cooperation and development.
Oecd economic outlook 2018 issue 2, november oecd economic outlook 2018 the oecd economic outlook is the oecd s twiceyearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. Atradius economic outlook november 2015 ero111501en. Since the november 2018 eo104 edition lithuania is included in the oecd aggregate and the new oecd euro area zone coded ea17. The economic outlook publication the oecd economic outlook eo publication presents the oecd s twiceyearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. Oecd economic outlook pdf oecd economic outlook pdf download. Organisation for economic cooperation and development oecd menu.
The oecd factbook, published yearly and available online, as an iphone app and in print. Economic outlook no 97 june 2015 oecd annual projections economic outlook no 96 november 2014 oecd annual projections economic outlook no 95 may 2014 longterm baseline projections. Global gdp growth in 2016 is projected to be no higher than in 2015, itself the slowest. Asian development outlook 2015 financing asias future growth the annual asian development outlook provides a comprehensive analysis of economic performance in the past year and offers forecasts for the next 2 years for the 45 economies in asia and the pacific that make up developing asia. Canada, japan and the euro zone are examples of economies where growth will be stable and close to trend according to data published december 8 by the oecd. Pwc main scenario projections he uk economy has slowed a little t in 2015 but domestic demand growth remains relatively strong, helped by lower oil prices.
Inflation is measured by the increase in the consumer price index or private consumption deflator for the united states. The oecd economic outlook is the oecd s twiceyearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. Relative to 2015, growth is expected to pick up slightly in advanced economies, but to decline in emerging. The oecd economic outlook analyses the major economic trends over the coming 2 to 3 years as well as market forecasts and projections. In 2016 growth is projected to strengthen only slightly in the oecd area, but more so in the non oecd area figures 1. Atradius economic outlook 4 executive summary the global economy has entered turbulent water. Oecd ilibrary oecd economic outlook, volume 2019 issue 2. Growth in the oecd economies has held up this year, at around 2%, implying a modest reduction in economic slack, helped by an upturn in private consumption growth.
The sharp exchange rate depreciation improved price competitiveness for exporters. Changes to the october 2015 database data for lithuania are now included in the euro area aggregates, but they were excluded in the april 2015 weo. The main version is in english, and it is also published in french and german. The mediumterm outlook is moderate, with real gdp projected to grow at 3. It contributes expertise on the main driving forces behind oecd projections for the global economy. The first weo was published in 1977 and it has been an annual publication since 1998. The recovery has now been sustained at an above trend rate for nearly two years since early 20 after a couple of sluggish years in 2011 and. Congo african economic outlook 2015 growth reached 6. It provides indepth coverage of the main economic issues and the policy measures required to foster growth in each member. Chief economist, g20 finance deputy and special counsellor. Seychelles african economic outlook 2017 growth slowed to 4. Jan 21, 2015 gdp can be calculated in three ways, providing different perspectives on the balance of economic activity.
This book is available to subscribers to the following sourceoecd theme. However, business investment remains subdued, raising questions about future potential growth rates and about the extent to which stronger growth in the advanced economies can help. The impact of the covid19 outbreak on economic prospects is severe growth was weak but stabilising until the coronavirus covid19 hit. Nov 09, 2015 as a group, advanced economies have so far been resilient to eme weakness 8 revisions to oecd economic outlook projections between june and november 2015 sources. It contains forecast and analysis of the economic situation of the oecd member countries. Gdp growth over 20112015 and april 2011 consensus projections of average annual gdp. Some aggregates and indicators are in index form with 20151. Gdp growth projections downgraded oecd interim economic outlook projections %, yearonyear. Troubled emerging markets are the main source of weakness and concern. The business at oecd economic policy committee epc advises the oecd on macro economic issues as well as priorities for structural reforms. Dec 08, 2015 leading economic indicators from the oecd point to stable growth in the coming months for the area as a whole. Oecd economic outlook,volume 2015 issue 2 oecd 2015 9 chapter 1 general assessment of the macroeconomic situation.
To assess the damage from the great recession, i also need estimates of the levels that potential output would have attained if not for the recession. Oecd economic outlook available for download and read online in other formats. The increase in economic activity should be close to the trend. Gross domestic product gdp outlook from the organisation. The digital economy outlook has been declassified by the committee on 8 may 2015. Pdf oecd economic outlook download full pdf book download. Madagascar african economic outlook 2015 a political and social crisis since 2009 meant that 2014 was a decisive year for madagascar, with a new president elected, a fresh parliament installed and a new government sworn in, thus enabling the country to.
Enterprise search find and share insights buried in docs and decks across your organization, in seconds. It contains a large selection of timely statistical indicators. The outlook in a nutshell based on oecd assumptions box 1. The world economic outlook weo database contains selected macroeconomic data series from the statistical appendix of the world economic outlook report, which presents the imf staffs analysis and projections of economic developments at the global level, in major country groups and in many individual countries. Import volumes are deflated based on oecd estimates. Lithuania joined the euro area on 1 january 2015, consequently the reference year for ea17 is 2015. Inflation is measured in terms of the annual growth rate and in index, 2015 base year with a breakdown for food, energy and total excluding food and energy. Organisation for economic cooperation and development the oecd digital economy outlook is a biennial series which examines and documents evolutions and emerging opportunities and challenges in the digital economy. Essentially these three approaches consist of adding up the total value of incomes, spending or production in a country or region during a period of time.
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